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How to Use the Swing Timing Alert
How to Use the Swing Timing Alert

Market timing has long been one of the greatest secrets to investment success in all kind of markets.

All investments have their cycles -- periods when prices rise and periods when they fall. The idea is to buy before prices rise and sell before they fall. Opportunities abound. But only if you buy and sell at the right time.

This is where we come in… the Swing Timing Alert (STA) specializes in timing as the market swings from one extreme to another. It tells you exactly when to buy and when to sell depending upon prevailing market conditions. The Swing Timing Alert is designed to make money during both bull and bear markets.

You can use STA to time all US index funds, market indices or index ETFs. The Swing Timing Alert is clear, concise and easy to use. Yet, it generates enormous profits when followed correctly and with proper discipline.

The Swing Timing Alert, is sent via e-mail whenever a new buy or sell signal is generated. The new issue is also posted on the website as a PDF file. Interim updates are sent as and when required.

The Swing Timing Alert features 3 model portfolios :
  1. Conservative
  2. Moderate
  3. Aggressive
All 3 model portfolios utilize different ETFs. These are as follows.

Conservative Portfolio : On a Buy signal, purchase an index ETF. On a Sell signal, exit to a money-market fund (cash equivalent). This portfolio is designed to make money during bull markets and protect capital by remaining in the safety of cash during bear markets.

Moderate Portfolio : On a Buy signal, purchase an index ETF that goes up with the market. On a Sell signal, purchase an inverse index ETF that goes up when the market goes down. This portfolio is designed to make money in both up and down markets.

Aggressive Portfolio : On a Buy signal, purchase a 2X enhanced index ETF that goes up twice as fast as the market. On a Sell signal, purchase a 2X inverse enhanced index ETF that goes up when the market goes down but twice as fast. This portfolio is also designed to make money in both up and down markets but with a beta of 2. So it always moves twice as fast, both up and down, as the underlying index.

It will bring clarity to your thoughts and investment process when you choose one model portfolio to follow.

Here's how you pick the appropriate model portfolio to follow based on your risk profile :

  1. Are you a risk-averse investor who wants to profit from bull markets and avoid the pain of bear markets? If yes, then choose the Conservative Portfolio.


  2. Are you a risk-averse investor who wants to profit from both bull and bear markets without using any leverage? If yes, then choose the Moderate Portfolio.


  3. Are you a risk-taker who wants to quickly make profits from both bull and bear markets and also use 2X leverage? If yes, then choose the Aggressive Portfolio.
Each issue of the Swing Timing Alert will also show you the Best Bets for Traders and Active Investors under the prevailing market conditions. No exits are given for these and you should determine your own exit points or use a 10 to 20% trailing stop.

The Swing Timing Alert is always on a buy or a sell signal. When it is on a BUY signal, we buy the Ultra QQQ ProShares exchange traded fund (symbol QLD). This is an index ETF tied to the Nasdaq 100 index. It has a beta of approximately +2, meaning it moves twice as fast as the Nasdaq 100 index, both up and down. Because this fund has a positive beta, it moves in tandem with the Nasdaq 100 index, gaining in value when the market goes up and losing in value when the market goes down.

When the STA system goes to a SELL signal, you simply sell QLD and buy the UltraShort QQQ ProShares exchange traded fund (symbol QID). This is a reverse index ETF tied to the Nasdaq 100 index with a beta of approximately -2 (minus two), meaning it moves twice as fast as and inversely with the Nasdaq 100 index. Thus, the fund gains in value when the Nasdaq 100 index is falling.

Obviously, we want to be invested in QLD when the stock market is rising and in a money market fund (cash equivalent) or QID when the stock market is falling. The signals generated by the Swing Timing Alert, though far from perfect, will help you accomplish this goal.

Sometimes, during times of unprecedented market volatility, when the market is vacillating without a trend, instead of fighting the tape we take the prudent course and temporarily exit to the safety of cash by parking it in a money market fund, waiting for the next signal.

The Swing Timing Alert concept is simple. First identify the trend of the market - whether it is up or down. Then invest your money in the appropriate ETF - either QLD if the trend is up or QID if the trend is down. When the trend changes from up to down, or vice-versa, simply switch from one ETF to another.

Best of all, you can buy and sell these ETFs at any discount broker and pay minimal commissions. If you already have a brokerage account, you are all set to trade these ETFs. Otherwise, just open an account at any online discount broker like :

With the Swing Timing Alert, you can get started at any time. You don't have to worry about the market being too high to buy or too low. This highly profitable timing service will notify you of any changes instantly. The model portfolios consist of index ETFs, which can be easily bought or sold through any broker.

Please remember ... patience and discipline are the two most important cornerstones of successful investing. Don't expect miracles or think you'll get rich overnight. Also, don't let the day to day market volatility and ups and downs bother you. That is all part of investing in the stock market. Focus on the longer-term. Look at the bigger picture. Think where you want to be 3, 5 or 10 years from now.

Jumping around from one investment program to the next can be detrimental to your wealth building efforts. Once you have found a good system, like the Swing Timing Alert, try it for at least 6 months before passing judgment on it.

We at Swing Timing Alert and Wealthquest International hope to make your investing profitable and enjoyable.


Frequently Asked Questions

Q. When is the Swing Timing Alert (STA) published?
A. STA is published and distributed via e-mail and our website www.swingtiming.com, whenever a new buy or sell signal is generated by our computerized trading system. Whenever there is a signal change (from buy or sell or sell to buy), the STA will arrive in your inbox by 6:30 a.m. EST telling you exactly what action you need to take. Interim updates are sent showing the performance of open positions.

I just signed up for the Swing Timing Alert. Am I too late for the signal? What should I do?
A. You have the following 5 choices :
  1. Wait for a fresh buy signal to initiate your trading -- this is the safest strategy.
  2. Use only half of your capital to invest in the present ongoing trade -- this is a nice compromise strategy.
  3. Another possibility along these lines is to dollar-cost average over time by investing only 10% of your capital every week.
  4. Jump in right away in the direction of the current trade -- this could be quite risky if the markets suddenly turn around.
  5. Option traders can buy call options on the ETF we are currently holding in the portfolio.
Q. How do I use the Bests for Traders and Active Investors?
A. Instead of buying an enhanced index ETF tied to a broadly diversified index like the Nasdaq 100 index, you can elect to buy the Best ETFs which are tied to narrow sector indices. These are higher-risk ETFs which can provide a big reward within a very short time. Similarly you can also use the Best Stocks or Best Mutual Funds which can also provide a huge reward within a very short time, but can also be quite volatile. No exits are given for these and you should determine your own exit points or use a 10 to 20% trailing stops for these positions.

Q. Which broker do you recommend for buying and selling these ETFs?
A. If you already have a brokerage account just use them to buy & sell these ETFs. Otherwise, just open an account at any online discount broker like :
Q. How does Swing Trading Alert determine its BUY and SELL signals?
A. After years of research and testing, we have created a timing system that removes all the guesswork, speculation, and human emotion … no more relying on "gut feelings" or second-guessing as the market swings from bull to bear and back. The Swing Timing Alert uses an advanced non-linear mathematical model that observes the underlying trend to trigger a buy or sell signal. All 3 model portfolios use different swing timing systems. The Conservative portfolio looks at longer-term market swings, the Moderate portfolio views intermediate-term swings while the Aggressive portfolio changes signals based on short-term swings.

Q. The Dow was down 500 points yesterday. Why is your system still on a BUY signal?
A. One day of market activity does not make a trend. We are not day-traders. Instead we look at trends that last at least a few weeks. That way you stay on the right side of the market trend virtually all the time and make money with minimal switches between the bull and bear ETFs.

Q. The Dow was up 500 points yesterday. Why is your system still on a SELL signal?
A. Same as answer to previous question above.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this newsletter should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investment advice. Any investments recommended in this letter should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Neither Swing Timing Alert nor Wealthquest International Inc., or any of its owners, officers, employees or associates will be liable for damages, including losses, loss of profit or any consequential damages resulting from the use of or the inability to use this service. The Swing Timing Alert is intended for experienced, sophisticated investors who are thoroughly familiar with all the risks, cost, mechanics, tax, and legal consequences of investing. Use or misuse of any information include in the Swing Timing Alert specifically exempts anyone affiliated with the Swing Timing Alert from any liability whatsoever. All subscribers or users of the Swing Timing Alert agree to take full responsibility for their investment decisions and any losses. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investments are at your own risk. Information may contain factual, mathematical, or typographic errors and therefore should be verified. Profits are not guaranteed and losses are possible. If you are unwilling or unable to comply with or agree to any of the conditions of this disclaimer, you may cancel your subscription at any time.
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